Comments on: TOP 07 OF 07: Number Seven http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/ Wed, 09 Jul 2008 03:14:18 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5.1 By: David Howell http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/#comment-41249 David Howell Mon, 31 Dec 2007 23:51:01 +0000 http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/#comment-41249 All other things being equal, that is. I suspect you'd have had one person with the £250k going to the end when in reality they didn't, simply to 'be the first'. That said, the £250k win triggered a great wave of risk-taking (see my previous post)... Sometimes these offers are taken. A near-identical offer to Trevor's went once, and Laura's £19,999 was rather more generous and I'd have taken it myself. But £45,000? No, I'm going for it there. I'm risking £42,000 to gain £205,000. The reason that you get players turning down spectacularly generous offers and taking mean ones - and believe me, there's been a ton of both, and sometimes it happens in the same game! - is *their* lack of 'math education'. They don't consider offer generosity that much... :S All other things being equal, that is.

I suspect you’d have had one person with the £250k going to the end when in reality they didn’t, simply to ‘be the first’.

That said, the £250k win triggered a great wave of risk-taking (see my previous post)…

Sometimes these offers are taken. A near-identical offer to Trevor’s went once, and Laura’s £19,999 was rather more generous and I’d have taken it myself. But £45,000? No, I’m going for it there. I’m risking £42,000 to gain £205,000.

The reason that you get players turning down spectacularly generous offers and taking mean ones - and believe me, there’s been a ton of both, and sometimes it happens in the same game! - is *their* lack of ‘math education’. They don’t consider offer generosity that much… :S

]]> By: andrew b http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/#comment-40672 andrew b Fri, 28 Dec 2007 22:49:24 +0000 http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/#comment-40672 the reason why those kinds of low offers are turned down, is once again, the banker's lack of math education. see the vast difference between trevor's drop from 9,900 to 1p and laura's rise from 19,999 to 250,000? when either situation is just about as likely, we have a net loss of over 220,000 quid! and, did you notice, banker, if you'd been a BIT less stingy and offered 50K (which i STILL would take), she'd be out and you still wouldn't have written a 250K check to this DAY! the reason why those kinds of low offers are turned down, is once again, the banker’s lack of math education. see the vast difference between trevor’s drop from 9,900 to 1p and laura’s rise from 19,999 to 250,000? when either situation is just about as likely, we have a net loss of over 220,000 quid! and, did you notice, banker, if you’d been a BIT less stingy and offered 50K (which i STILL would take), she’d be out and you still wouldn’t have written a 250K check to this DAY!

]]> By: David Howell http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/#comment-40669 David Howell Fri, 28 Dec 2007 22:23:15 +0000 http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/#comment-40669 The silly thing is she'd earlier turned down £19,999 with £5k and two blues alongside the £3k and £250k. I'd have gone there, what with three boxes to open and hence a 60% chance of being reduced to £5k or less and a 30% chance of leaving two blues, but would almost certainly not have taken this; I'd have looked for (and offered) £60-70k, probably the latter. This was the death of the show in my opinion, as the next few weeks of games saw incredibly inflated offers being rejected with alarming ease, aided and abetted by horrific host intervention, and the show was never that exciting again for me. The silly thing is she’d earlier turned down £19,999 with £5k and two blues alongside the £3k and £250k. I’d have gone there, what with three boxes to open and hence a 60% chance of being reduced to £5k or less and a 30% chance of leaving two blues, but would almost certainly not have taken this; I’d have looked for (and offered) £60-70k, probably the latter.

This was the death of the show in my opinion, as the next few weeks of games saw incredibly inflated offers being rejected with alarming ease, aided and abetted by horrific host intervention, and the show was never that exciting again for me.

]]> By: andrew b http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/#comment-40556 andrew b Fri, 28 Dec 2007 01:46:53 +0000 http://buzzerblog.flashgameshows.com/top-07-of-07-number-seven/#comment-40556 notice to all bankers out there: DON'T OFFER ON THE CHEAP, OR THIS WILL HAPPEN! notice to all bankers out there: DON’T OFFER ON THE CHEAP, OR THIS WILL HAPPEN!

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